The native token HBAR for Hedera Hashgraph has experienced an intense decline in value. Hedera Hashgraph token (HBAR) fell to $0.1750 in March 2025, marking its most devalued point since December 2024. Insufficient technical data coupled with network challenges suggests that HBAR faces additional downward price movement since its 2025 peak value got cut by 57%. A dubious Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) approval remains its last hope for survival.
The Value of HBAR’s Support Base Failed as Bears Disrupted It
The market signs have clearly indicated that HBAR is in trouble. The cryptocurrency shattered the $0.1817 support barrier, which had remained intact since February 2025. Over the preceding months, the $0.1817 support levels acted as a security net when prices slipped and prompted price increases. Not this time. The recent breach indicates unambiguously that bears now have complete dominance over the market situation. The price fall of HBAR to $0.1750 resulted in a 7.57% decrease during one day, signaling continued negative market trends.
Technical indicators do not provide positive encouraging signals regarding HBAR’s performance. The death cross pattern has emerged in HBAR’s price chart as the 50-day moving average crossed beneath the 200-day average, historically indicating enduring price drops. The price decline of HBAR crosses beneath the 61.3% Fibonacci Retracement threshold, which typically acts as a base for correction. A technical analysis points towards decreased resistance, leading HBAR to fall to $0.1200 as it approaches the 78.6% retracement mark. The current value represents a staggering 31 percent below what Hedera Hashgraph currently stands.
DeFi Decline Fuels the Fire
Hedera’s ecosystem and charts are issuing multiple warning signs that indicate substantial market trouble. The decentralized finance operation of Hedera has experienced catastrophic TVL losses, with current values showing 531 million HBAR tokens while reaching 1.33 billion at its peak. The asset value loss reaches 60%, which pulls down confidence levels as it continues to decline. The popular decentralized application Stader published its lowest asset valuation record in a year during the past 30 days at $81 million after dropping 11 percent. The cryptocurrency values of Bonzo Finance, HeliSwap, and HbarSuite show declines reaching 6.8% and similar amounts.
Revenue’s drying up too. The Hedera application recorded only $9,700 earnings in March 2022, while previous December numbers reached $124,000. The declining number of users alongside decreased DeFi adoption and shrinking volume creates overwhelming pressure on HBAR’s market value, causing this crash to expand beyond regular market changes.
ETF Hope: Long Shot to Save HBAR?
The decrement shows no signs of adapting itself to change. The prospect of an HBAR ETF receiving approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission stands as the strongest possibility for improving HBAR performance. The proposed U.S. institutional investment through an ETF would likely inspire substantial capital inflow that would simultaneously boost demand while positively affecting the value of HBAR. But it’s a big “if.” This vital support from the SEC remains uncertain because the SEC performs extremely slowly when reviewing crypto ETFs at a time when Hedera Inc. faces major difficulties.
HBAR Headed
At present, the HBAR price shows all signs that point towards a sustained bearish trend. The chart patterns indicate a selling opportunity because of the death cross and violated support points. The subsequent price level of $0.1200 shows signs of a predicted endpoint instead of a future target unless disruptive events occur. ETE chatter remains interesting but provides no actual evidence because it lacks concrete information.
